Last week the US announced it was sending more personnel and
materiel to beef up the African Union regional army’s hunt for the Lord’s
Resistance Army (LRA).
This time around an extra 150 personnel will be flown in, to
assist the 100 Special Forces already in place from the previous assistance.
Officially these elite units will not see any action, but use high tech equipment
to ferret out the elusive Joseph Kony and his band of murderous cronies.
Kony, down to a few bad men, is holed up somewhere in the
Central African Republic near the south Sudan border, it is thought, a lawless hell hole with
several other outlaws roaming around.
"Thankfully the terror the LRA meted out on Ugandan soil is a fast fading memory. Kony probably played his last hand in 2002 when after a year’s lull in activity attacked the border town of Agoro in Kitgum and triggered Operation Iron Fist, a foray into Southern Sudan by the UPDF...
Subsequent attacks in Uganda like the bloody massacre in the
Barlonyo in 2004 or attacks into eastern
Uganda were attempts by the LRA to disperse the concentrated action on their
camps in South Sudan.
A major turning point in the war against the LRA was the
gazetting of the rebel group as a terrorist organisation by the George W. Bush
administration in 2001. It also helped that Bush listed Sudan as part of the axis of evil, which
prompted Khartoum to cut off overt support for the LRA and allow Uganda to
pursue the rebels deep into southern Sudan.
At around the same time the government was released from the
arbitrary cap on military spending imposed by the donor community for almost a
decade prior.
Kony was also the first individual to be indicted by the
newly created International Criminal Court (ICC) in 2005.
Incidentally former ICC prosecutor Mario Ocampo was around
last week hawking his services as a special prosecutor to the war affected
communities of northern Uganda and Barlonyo in particular.
More than a decade later the White House reacting to
mounting pressure from powerful constituencies at home to help in shutting down
the LRA and the desperate need for some foreign policy victories, have set
their sights on the remnants of the LRA.
To put a final nail in the LRA insurgency would be to put a
stop to one of the most intractable conflicts on the continent.
The conflict which started as a last stand by retreating
soldiers of the UNLA, overthrown by the NRA in 1986, was hijacked by Joseph
Kony and transformed into an orgy of bloodletting, large scale kidnappings of
children for use as soldiers and sex slaves and the forced displacement of up
two million of the northern Uganda’s people.
The NRA and later the UPDF did not always acquit themselves
with distinction, leaving a sore taste in the mouth that is yet to be expunged.
So Kony’s prospects going into the future are decidedly
bleak. But we have heard that all before.
This time things may be different.
Among the reasons the LRA have been able to hold out so long
is that they recruited by abduction and were therefore difficult to infiltrate.
A few people who presented themselves for recruitment met very nasty ends.
With a badly depleted force and now operating in a foreign
land far from the Acholi heart land in South Sudan the LRA must be feeling
truly like fish out of water.
Secondly the LRA’s low technology approach to war means they
still run around on foot shunning vehicles and most recently telecommunications
-- unnecessary if you are not interested in controlling territory, but problematic
if your generals are getting older. Kony according to records will be 53 this
year.
And finally Khartoum for fear of alienating itself further, probably can’t touch their former ally with a ten foot pole.
"In a strange way the capture or demise of Kony will only be good for political back slappers. Believe it or not there are still some who sleep with one eye open, in mortal fear of the return of the son of Odek village, but reactions to Kony’s end will be mooted probably more relief than jubilation....
New York Times correspondent Thomas Freidman coined the word
the super-empowered individual, loosely defined as a person who by leveraging
force – physical, mental or another against a system is able to cause ripples
through society for better or for worse.
At the time he came up with the term the internet was not in
widespread use and the Osama bin Laden’s Al Queada had not flown planes into
the World Trade Center, but could have been referring to Kony.
