Thursday, April 3, 2025

BIDCO: A DEVELOPMENT DILEMMA


One year after the inception of a $150m (sh278.2b) palm oil development on Kalangala island, project sponsors BIDCO are soldiering on, despite incessant attacks from environmentalists and sniping from entrenched local industry interests.


One year after the inception of a $150m (sh278.2b) palm oil development on Kalangala island, project sponsors BIDCO are soldiering on, despite incessant attacks from environmentalists and sniping from entrenched local industry interests.

But despite being the most vocal opposition to the project, the environmentalists admit they are hard pressed to put a monetary value to preserving the island’s ecosystem that would outweigh the anticipated value BIDCO is bringing to the island.

They argue that by slashing forest cover to make way for the plantation, the islands will lose out on their unique species of vegetation, alter the climate of the area and suffer massive soil erosion.

In 2004, the Government gave BIDCO a go-ahead to establish an oil palm project. Under the terms of the project, BIDCO was to establish a 26,500-hectare oil palm growing operation and set up a plant to process the palm oil from the plantations.

BIDCO would provide the expertise and the funds to get the project off the ground, while for its part, the Government would make the land available allow a 25-year Corporate Tax holiday and 12-year Value Added Tax (VAT) deferral for the plantation project.

Currently, about 3,500 hectares have been put under palm trees out of the 5,500 hectares provided by the Government so far most of which has been on land reclaimed from the forest.

"First of all, we are not burning the forests. We just cut down the trees and leave them in the fields to rot. The bio diversity is not being lost. It is just migrating to the forests we are not touching," Kalangala plantation manager Lim Choon Meng said on a recent tour of rows and rows of plantation.

"Secondly, the impression is that most of the island is covered in forest. That is not true. So far, we have planted about 1,500 hectares of grassland with the palm trees," he said.

Meng also pointed out that they are adhering to an agreement to maintain a 200-metre strip of trees between the plantation and the lake shore and growing cover crops between the palm trees as preventative measures against erosion.

He said he plans to plant an additional 1,000 hectares before the end of the year, but he was desperate for more land on which to plant seedlings.

"I have about 500,000 seedlings waiting for transfer to the fields, some of which are more than a year old and need to be transferred now or I will have to lose them but the land is not forthcoming," Meng said.

According to the managing director of the Uganda project, Kodey Rao, under the agreement, the Government was supposed to have provided the whole 26,500 hectares within a year of signing the agreement, which has not happened.

"We have about 5,500 hectares available, but need the whole component as soon as possible to ease planning," he said.

Partly as a result of BIDCO’s activities, the island is experiencing an economic boom.

"Land prices are rising, Kalangala town is growing and immigrant labour is swelling the island’s numbers.

"The wage bill for our workers is higher than the wage bill for Kalangala district administration and we have not even begun commercial production," Rao said.

BIDCO employs about 1,500 workers whom it pays twice a month, which invariably leads to higher sales for shops in the nearby trading centres.

"The improvements around here since BIDCO touched down are amazing," the district agricultural officer, David Balilonda, said.

While agreeing that the workers’ salaries have brought increased liquidity into the Island’s economy, he sees more fundamental benefits.

"The project has opened up roads where there were none. Communication and trade across the island has been greatly improved," Balilonda said.

A new ship, the 108-passenger MV Kalangala, was commissioned in February and sets sail from Entebbe compared to the old one which docked in Masaka. That has improved access to the mainland.

"We are seeing more tourists especially Ugandan tourists since the new ship started," former MP Mulindwa Birimaso, who owns the 30-room Palm Beach Hotel Resort said.

"Everything has an impact on the environment, even your breathing. The question is: what is being done to mitigate this impact?" Rao asked.

"We think we have put together an environmentally-friendly package while at the same time putting together a project that will have a transformative impact on the island’s economy, ".

Rao estimates that the $150m injected into the project will have a six-fold multiplier effect on the economy through saved foreign exchange, job creation and support services.

On the project’s outgrowers scheme, the company projects that on a hectare of land (about 2.5 acres), a farmer will be able to get $1,000 (sh1.85m) per month.

Environmentalists are having a hard time countering these benefits with evidence of their own that shows that the islands trees will have as great an economic impact.

"Building a case for non-monetary benefits is difficult," National Forestry Authority’s spokesman Gastor Kiyingi said.

"But the calamities that come with such environmental degradation do not take long to show themselves," he said refering to the ill- advised move to build a dam parallel to the old Kiira power dam, a situation that has caused a larger than usual outflow and is partly responsible for the reduced water levels on Lake Victoria.

Today, people are looking for political advice but neglecting professional advice, Kiyingi said.

That maybe but for the time being, the locals remain unconvinced.


PS This was published in teh New Vision 20 years ago.... an update long overdue

Tuesday, April 1, 2025

UMEME EXIT AND THE END OF AN ERA

As of writing this column Umeme’s 20 year concession will come to a close today Monday, 31st March.

Last week the Auditor General submitted his final report putting what the government owes to Umeme as a final pay out at $118m, below any previous estimates. According to Umeme the government owes them $234m, previously the Auditor General had estimated the payout at $201m, while Electricity Regulatory Authority (ERA) the overseer of the concession had put their figure at $127m.

The payout is compensation for assets not fully paid for through the tariff.

It was curious how the discrepancies between all the players were so wide and I guess this will be resolved in the fullness of time.

It has been an interesting journey and a test case for the management of such Private Public Partnerships (PPP), as we will probably need to do more of in the future.

At the tail end of the privatization process, at the end of 1990s, the big infrastructure companies like Uganda Electricity Board (UEB) and Uganda Posts & Telecommunications Corporation (UPTC) came up for sale.

Unlike previous privatisations for which it was enough to liquidate, sell their assets or sell them as is, these companies demanded different treatment.

In the case of UEB a total overhaul of the electricity sector was required to attract funding into the sector.

"For starters the tariff had to be raised, as the prevailing tariff, around US4cents a unit at the time,  did not allow for the sector to be run sustainably, leave alone promise a return for intending investors...

Critical too to the reforms was the breakup of UEB into its constituent parts – generation, transmission and distribution. This was done because it was easier to get investment for parts of the company rather than the whole. As has proved true.

Billions of dollars in investment have been sourced by government and private players in the generation and distribution sector. Government has had to follow suit with comparable investment in the transmission part to keep up with new interest up and down stream.

Umeme came in at a time when we were suffering day long power cuts and as if that was not enough, around that time the water levels on Lake Victoria fell dramatically, affecting power generation at the Kiira-Nalubale power station.

Government opted for expensive thermal power, which raised tariffs even higher and saddled government with trillions of shillings in subsidies to the sector to keep the power tariff manageable for the paying public.

It is only when Bujagali came on line 2012, with the sector seeing surplus generation capacity for the first time in decades, eliminating loadshedding, did Umeme really take off. It should be noted that Bujagali’s commissioning was delayed almost 10 years as politicians and environmentalists threw roadblocks at every turn of its development.

With increased generation Umeme had to ramp up the last mile distribution grid, accelerating account numbers to around two million currently from the 300,000 they inherited.

Of course once it is done everybody jumps up and says it was not that difficult after all, anyone could have done it.

But there certain key things that allowed Umeme to do what UEB could not do.

For starters the managers of Umeme were only dealing with one part of the electricity chain, albeit the crucial one, because if Umeme was not paid transmission and generation would not have been paid. It should be noted that the installation of yaka in 2011, which Umeme were initially reluctant to undertake, because of the huge initial capital outlay, has with a single stroke increased billing to almost 100 percent.

In addition the higher tariff  Umeme has enjoyed has allowed them to not only maintain the grid but expand it almost five fold during the concession to 70,000 km from the 16,000 km they inherited.

Secondly, Umeme has been able to invest almost $800m over the last 20 years, because on the strength of the balance sheet, go to the market to source funding, and not rely on treasury for funding. This was critical for speed of execution of many of its programs...

It helped too that with increased digitization greater efficiencies have been enjoyed that UEB could only dream about. Though on the other hand the profit motive can be a strong incentive to push innovation and early adoption of new technologies.

Unfortunately the concession seems to have come to an acrimonious end. But the management of Umeme can leave l knowing they have set bar against which its successors will be measured. Umeme may have benefitted from being measured against the low bar of UEB, the same will not be the case for its successor.

 

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