Tuesday, February 25, 2025

GOVT WALKING DANGEROUS PATH IN ELECTRICITY SECTOR

Last week MPs on an inspection tour of the Namanve thermal power plant, learnt that two of the plant’s seven turbines had been shut down for lack of funds and the entire plant may be shut down by year end,if government doesn’t release funds meant for maintenance of the plant.

Uganda Electricity Generation Company Ltd (UEGCL) through the energy ministry has already requested sh61b to undertake deferred major maintenance and implementation of this year’s capital investment plan.

This has become even more urgent after last year’s release of sh19b for 2023/24 never reached UEGCL, even though it was released by the finance ministry.

The MPs heard that a total shut down by December 2025 would be inevitable, if this money was not released promptly...

UEGCL presented other concerns surrounding the Isimba and Karuma power plants, but we will save those for another day.

This a harbinger of things to come.

Just in case we forgot, our plans for developing especially through industrialization will remain pipe dreams if we did not straighten out the power sector.

Over the last two years UEGCL has repossessed Kiira-Nalubale dams from South African firm Eskom and the Namanve thermal plant from Jacobssen. And at the end of March the Uganda Electricity Distribution Company Ltd (UEDCL) will be taking over the grid from Umeme, when the 20 year concession will be up.

One of the major reasons we handed over our distribution and generation networks to private players, was because they were not only inefficient but they were proving an unsustainable drain on the treasury. The idea was by passing them on to private players they would be a net contributor of revenue to government, would raise funds to invest, thereby expanding capacity with the eventual aim of assuring power supply and bringing more people onto the grid.

Through out the concessions Eskom, Jacobssen and Umeme have contributed to government coffers rather than the reverse.

Uganda Electricity Board (UEB) from which UEGCL, UEDCL and Uganda Electricity Transmission Company Ltd (UETCL) were hived off, struggled majorly for lack of funds....

Over the last 25 years billions of dollars have been invested in the sector, most of it from private players, bringing us to the happy situation where we have a surplus of power.

Currently Uganda has an installed power generation capacity of more than 2,000 MW against a peak demand of just over 1,000 MW.

Although it has to be said, that the surplus capacity is costing us a lot of money, a failure of government execution, but that again is a story for another day.

The private sector was able to carry out these investments, because it did not have to run to government everytime they had to finance adding new generation capacity or expand the grid. The private players went to the open market and on the strength of their cashflows and balance sheet funded their operations and investments.

Meanwhile, the private players did not airlift staff from South Africa or the UK or Norway to run these private concessions. Ninety percent of their staff were Ugandans, who will remain in the country after the infrastructure is returned to government.

So the problem then, in the UEB days and now, is not that we don’t have qualified people to run the electricity sector but that government bureaucracy and inefficiency is weighing the sector down.

"The lesson of the last two decades of private sector participation in the sector maybe that the private sector is a better operator, but more importantly that government needs to keep an arm´s length distance from industry in order for it to work...

UEGCL’s experience in the last two years is proof enough of this.   

It has been done before. The experience of National Water & Sewerage Corporation (NWSC) , which was close to being flogged 30 years ago, is a good example. Government allowed management to turn it around, recapitalized it by converting debt to equity and providing the necessary cover to source financing for its major projects.

Water is more emotive than electricity so if government can do it in the water sector it can do it in the power sector.

If government is serious about the energy sector they need to recapitalize these agencies and cut them loose to operate commercially, otherwise the beginnings of a return to the loadshedding and inefficiency of the old UEB days seem inevitable.

 

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