When facing an adversary who has captured the high ground and is entrenched, it is suicidal to try a full on frontal attack.
With much fewer forces than you, the enemy can defend his
position, costing you a lot in life, ammunition and morale. Bombardment from
the air or below may help obliterate him, but that is conditional on you having
the requisite capacity – airplanes and artillery. If you are considerably
weaker and lacking in capacity these are out of the question and you will be better
served trying to lay siege wait him out, starve the enemy out, disperse their
fire power by attacking on several fronts or infiltrate some of your people
behind their lines. The military experts will explain better.
As in war so is life.
Former presidential candidate Robert Kyagulanyi this week
formally served notice that he is withdrawing his petition to overturn the
results of the 2021 presidential election. In his sworn affidavit Kyagulanyi
says he doubts the impartiality of the court, complains that his witnesses are
being harassed and that his home detention has hampered his capacity to put up
a credible challenge.
Previously
"the National Unity Platform (NUP) has insisted they have incontrovertible evidence that the election was rigged and that their leader was the rightful president of Uganda. They have now decided to take their evidence to the court of public opinion, where they think they will get a more sympathetic ear....
From the beginning, this column didn’t give Kyagulanyi much
chance at outright victory. This conviction was sealed when the Electoral
Commission (EC) announced that of the 18,500-plus nominees up and down the
political system, the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) had more than
18,000 nominees. This was an important revelation because these are the foot
soldiers whose influence is then converted into support for the presidential
candidates. No footsoldiers, No chance.
These are not the movies where John Rambo or Arnold
Schwarzenegger single handedly take on a tank division. It is like going up against European Champions
league champions Bayern Munich short by seven players.
There are some miracles that just don’t happen.
That being said NUP’s sweeping of central Uganda and Busoga
was impressive and probably beat even the party’s leadership expectations. Beth
is as it may, it was stretch to extrapolate this into a national win.
We waited with baited breath for the evidence the Kyagulanyi
camp would adduce to support their challenge.
With the withdrawal from the petition we missed that
opportunity to one, have the supreme court rule on it and secondly, for us mere
mortals to hear this evidence and make up our own minds. If Kyagulanyi’s
withdrawal from the appeal is allowed by the court this will be a missed
opportunity.
"The value of appealing against the election – win or lose, is that the supreme court would rule on the process, which ruling would set important legal precedents as well as feed into future electoral reforms. While this is not as sexy as having the supreme court overturning the result, such rulings is how societies or democracies are built....
This column has previously expressed disappointment at
Besigye refusing to challenge the election before court for the same reasons.
This refusal by Kyagulanyi to pursue his case is selfish. It
tells us like with Besigye, what matters is whether they win or not and to hell
with the larger picture.
"Appealing to the court of public opinion is grandstanding, it serves little to advance society. Public opinion is fickle – an indiscrete clergyman or a US battleship docked in Mombasa or Liverpool FC’s slumping ways, easily sway attention from the serious issue of how our country is governed...
To go to court is to put your grievances on paper, saved for
posterity, so future generations can look back and see what we did or did not
do. I think future generations will take a very dim view of the current goings
on.
One of the reasons African civilization has been overrun by
lesser versions, has a lot to do with us relying on oral tradition. Try
relaying a story down the line and see how after several reiterations the story
will have changed beyond recognition. Not a good way to advance society. And
hence the importance of the appeal.
I'm not sure about this:
ReplyDelete"...which ruling would set important legal precedents as well as feed into future electoral reforms...'
The current government has shown that it is unwilling to ever have meaningful electoral reforms and so any such developments will have to wait until it is no longer in power. But any future government will not need precedents to carry out the important ones. All it will need is a good dose of good faith. So we don't really need to waste more Supreme Court time coming up with precedents that won't be required any time soon. In any case, the previous petitions surely did enough in that regard.
Speaking of previous petitions, I think you are being very unfair to Dr. Besigye here when you state "It tells us like with Besigye, what matters is whether they win or not and to hell with the larger picture". KB did much more than any other opposition figure in the past 35 years to illuminate the so-called big picture for us citizens at great personal cost. He also petitioned twice - surely he can be excused for opting out of subsequent ones?
Governments do not act out of the goodness of their hearts but mostly because they are compelled by credible oppositions, if you are waiting for the good will of governments to move things --this one or a future one, good luck!
Delete"So we don't really need to waste more Supreme Court time coming up with precedents that won't be required any time soon ..." there in lies the problem, you want things soon. Impatience is the undoing of our opposition, they have no sense of the big picture, the long game ... Unfortunately for them their main adversary is a big picture, long game player ... if hey could appreciate just this one fact their fortunes would be very different
Credible oppositions don't come into being because of their love for democracy though - they too are every bit as driven by self-interest as those in power. Good governance can only be attained if the population as a whole is sophisticated (high quality) enough to hold both sides to account and to punish them when they don't live up to those ideals. In our case where the masses are content with their lives no matter how miserable they appear (to us), it doesn't matter how good the opposition is or is perceived to be.
ReplyDeletePlus, their main adversary is not only known for not playing fair but he has no compunction resorting to violence once faced with electoral loss so all these ideas of patience, big picture, long game are really moot as long as you're competing with him.